11 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1435
FormWWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
32%
68%
🌟Ruszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 66% (32)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+170
H2H15-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+170)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-2)