11 Aug · 07:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1377
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1389
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.