11 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1552
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Brud
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1537
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.