11 Aug · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1379
FormWWLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1507
FormWWLWW
36%
64%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H26-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-10)