11 Aug · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1641
FormWLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kosmal
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1537
FormLWWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)