11 Aug · 08:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1327
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Sokolowski
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1470
FormWLLWW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+143
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+143)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)