11 Aug · 08:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1405
FormLLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1610
FormWWWWL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+205
H2H16-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-7)