11 Aug · 09:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1503
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1518
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H48-51
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.