11 Aug · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1476
FormWWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sokolowski
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1428
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)