11 Aug · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1475
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Baron
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1428
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)