11 Aug · 09:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1644
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kosmal
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1540
FormLLWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)