11 Aug · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1505
FormLWWLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Adamus
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1321
FormLWLLL
69%
31%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 66% (79)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)