11 Aug · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1562
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Brud
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1510
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H35-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-30)