11 Aug · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1467
FormLWWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Baron
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1321
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)