11 Aug · 10:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1361
FormLLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1524
FormWWWWW
33%
67%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H13-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)