11 Aug · 12:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1532
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Minda
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1528
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Glanowski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (69)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H54-50
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.