11 Aug · 11:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1551
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Brud
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1503
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H35-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-31)