11 Aug · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1503
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adamus
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1464
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Sokolowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (93)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 52% · 1.92· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.