11 Aug · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1548
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Kosmal
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1655
FormWWWLW
38%
62%
🌟Brud goes over total as underdog 62% (29)
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)