11 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇵🇱Oliwier Sokolowski
ELO 1461
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sokolowski
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1442
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Sokolowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.