11 Aug · 13:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1533
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Glanowski
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1531
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 26% · 3.89· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H33-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.