11 Aug · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1655
FormWLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kosmal
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1537
FormWWWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+118
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)