11 Aug · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1336
FormLLWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Slawinski
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1585
FormWWLWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H11-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-2)