11 Aug · 15:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1509
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1447
FormWWWLW
57%
43%
🌟Juzek stays under total as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)