11 Aug · 14:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1527
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Brud
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1564
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H14-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.