11 Aug · 18:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1268
FormWLWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1373
FormWWWLL
39%
61%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)