11 Aug · 17:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1282
FormLLWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1515
FormWWWWW
26%
74%
🔥 Underdog lean · Piecowski🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 90% (21)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+233
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+233)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)