11 Aug · 18:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1463
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1507
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 66% (79)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H13-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)