11 Aug · 18:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1337
FormWLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Juzek
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1434
FormLLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 37% · 2.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)