11 Aug · 19:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1400
FormLLWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1609
FormLWLWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~72 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H32-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-26)