11 Aug · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1552
FormLWWWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pytlas
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1401
FormLWWLL
66%
34%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (56)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)