11 Aug · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1513
FormWLWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Szlubowski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1303
FormWWLLL
72%
28%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+210
H2H17-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+210)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-2)