11 Aug · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1597
FormWLLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Tkocz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1401
FormLWWLL
70%
30%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (56)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+196
H2H31-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+196)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-2)