11 Aug · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1452
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1539
FormLLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)