11 Aug · 20:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1409
FormWLLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1673
FormWLWWW
24%
76%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 69% (49)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~73 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+264
H2H40-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-16)