11 Aug · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1388
FormWLWLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1604
FormWWLLW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+216
H2H32-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+216)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-4)