11 Aug · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1740
FormLLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Molenda
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1599
FormLLWLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H20-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-1)