11 Aug · 22:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1446
FormLLLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1610
FormWWWWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)