11 Aug · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1335
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1507
FormLWWLW
32%
68%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowalczyk🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H19-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-8)