11 Aug · 21:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1402
FormLWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Kaczynski
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Kaczynski
ELO 1539
FormWLWLW
35%
65%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (56)
Fair odds · Kaczynski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)