11 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1277
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rolak
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1304
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 43% · 2.31· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.