11 Aug · 23:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1676
FormWWWLW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Tkaczyk
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1403
FormLLLLW
77%
23%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 69% (49)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~72 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+273
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+273)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)