11 Aug · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1748
FormWWLLW
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Molenda
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1218
FormLWLLL
91%
9%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 94% · 1.06· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 77%Total ~70 pts
3-0
50%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
5%
1-3
3%
Elo Gap+530
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+530)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)