11 Aug · 23:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1277
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Piecowski
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1305
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Piecowski goes over total as favourite 73% (22)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~81 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H39-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.