11 Aug · 23:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1409
FormLWLLW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1748
FormWWLLW
18%
82%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~73 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+339
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+339)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)