12 Aug · 00:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1615
FormWWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Tkocz
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1442
FormLLLLW
68%
32%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+173
H2H14-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+173)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-5)