12 Aug · 00:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1386
FormLWLLW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1564
FormWWLWW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H16-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-11)