12 Aug · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1504
FormWWWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Urban
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1336
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H37-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-17)