12 Aug · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1259
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rolak
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1321
FormWLWWL
43%
57%
🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H5-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)