12 Aug · 01:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1415
FormLWLWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Brunner
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1228
FormLLWLW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Brunner
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+187
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)